Chapter:Delhi it changes(five)
What does the ancient Chinese New Year mean?Flourishing New Year's Eve dinner, style gradually pomp but contents empty Chinese New Year social get-to-gather evening party, busy a year but the year-end bonus of result still have the very heavy New Year's Money in the child hand.However being latest to make is common of Chinese common people feel luckily pleased of is a leisurely long of holidays, for over a year all day long is life but rush about busy Chinese, seven days in Chinese New Year, long leave although usually accompanying with is depressed and mess around,after all they can come to a stop breather for a while and relive to be calm but its joy melt of home life.
The Chinese republic that front changes to defend down from the Indian Ocean defends non-commissioned officer the soldier became this Chinese New Year in is paid attention to most of crowd, although millions Chinese athletes who deploy in the overseas at the moment in, can have an opportunity to come back to be just minority of lucky persons with hearthside in the ancient old festival of this most sacred Chinese nation, this doesn't influence the medium for extoling them, in addition to traditional medium of hot stir-fry, each big website is full of or true or leave of front line diary and to front garrison forces life of protrait.These news and invitation card neither didn't become to order to account of popular, after all this war probably will soon terminate, but become history very much.
Is similar to the majority of young men, be engaged in the Hong Hao of financial investment to also equally fall overboard for war, however that is more is because of own occupation personal integrity get involved Indonesian civil war beginning from Chinese government, the strategic decision of each importance even is the alignment that a gain and loss of partial battle of battlefield may profoundly influence Chinese economy.The influence of the war upon a national stock market is actually many big, the history can give China the answer for providing from the operator to combine not much, only one of experience all the financial history that can come from other country.
In Indonesian civil war and henceforth of"in the sea quasi- war in Java in day" in, the Hong Haos all according to gulf the financial history of war for 1991 years, the beautiful rises after falling first and predicts Chinese stock market and as well deduces same condition of the market according to the routine in that war.The best opportune moment that the condition of the market like this is undoubtedly financial investors to have to cut to get, according to routine to predicting the influence of the war upon the stock market may more concentrations are on some tectonic plates, particularly is the petrochemical tectonic plate that everyone pays attention to.Although in the beginning of outbreak of war, the Hong Hao also has action to Chinese petrochemical industry, at the moment that in public many investment organizations start acting, he outside of chose the battlefield that withdraws this confusion.
Because the war is all pair blades sword forever, the oil price soars an ability direct incitement the trend of the petroleum tectonic plate, can also stimulate the stock price of petrochemical tectonic plate in the short run.But in the middle country for the sake of south the china sea but gather military force of at the same time, the international market oil price appeared to significantly drop, but directly influenced the trend of petroleum tectonic plate.His judgment is soon corroborated, very quick petroleums in China all presented significant adjustment, and this was in accordance with the principle of "benefit good to the utmost is a benefit empty" in the stock market.Although the oil price also launches but has along with the war again and again,oil price's hasing a point can affirm,beats by dre pro, war's bringing the biggest opportunity of petroleum tectonic plate has been already ended, the tectonic plate has been presenting a trend that vibration drops in the progress of the war.
The war gives the influence of market still not only here, the short line opportunity of s, such as metal and medicine...etc. in great quantities exists and passes the success operation of theses and make Hong Hao after giving up a petroleum tectonic plate, still in Indonesian civil war and henceforth of"in the sea quasi- war in Java in day" in is oneself and the place finance investment company to acquire big income.However when south the nitric smoke of the china sea just spread it, around printing of Ma Liu Jia's straits-east point of dispute again to China is go to the whole financial market of Southeast Asia brings huge impact.
Although print-east the war express from the first that this will is similar to at a time in last century many Middle East wars limited wars like that.But because of its battlefield the special of the place position, make the development trend of this war hard to anticipate.The dual influence of ground benefits with political and strategic good luck by all means will urge China get involved among them, make the prospect of this war whirling.This by all means makes the Chinese financial system is to all close to the very rigorous test the most pessimism estimate to the national economies is China after getting involved war may take 3-5 years very much can initial make up the negative effect for bringing with the war of of India, Chinese economy then mostly loses the economic achievement that a five years plan.
Limited war with overall the war is different.Under overall circumstance of war, the national economy has to absolutely completely obey the demand of war and even convert to the wartime economy.Under overall condition of war, produce war supplies to excel all the rest.And the circumstance of limited war then is different, national economy though the demand that also wants to obey war, but need not convert to the wartime economy, the financial property price is still very important, the financing institution still needs to develop for the function of the economic margin and the dispersion risk.
Factual development and Hong Hao the estimate before now mostly same, is declaring to get involved to print-east war behind, local Chinese economic system not and completely practiced militarization control, so at in printed war to keep on carrying on at the same time, the local financial system still keeps revolving as usual.So all evidences express that this war can't keep on too long time, on time in 3 from month to this years inside by all means end, but because the national defense increased by war still keeps influencing each realm of national economy.
The influence that shows Zhao most mainly embodies at usually the aspect of item, because the international transportation vital point-Ma Liu Jia's straits is placed in war status, it by all means causes local Chinese exit's descending, on the other hand because the business enterprise production reduce, will also cause export to reduce, but because of Southeast Asia Singapore, Malaysia and whole territorieses in Thailand of the region is spread to by war, wreath south the processing trade supply chain of the china sea split, southeast coast of the processing trade system appear stagnation, make trade surplus descend and make the depravation that the international receipt and expenditure circumstance appears once.
But in the capital item.But didn't appear more large-scale capital run off, Chinese mainland keeps off battlefield, so the large-scale capital that doesn't appear western economic scholar's startling statement creates a sensation outside escape, is more contrary and active than the international idle capital of Southeast Asia region and the native property of Southeast Asia all countries, for the sake of evade war risk but competitively get into China market, increased the foreign exchange of China to store from the certain degree significant decrease, let up the pressure of Reminbi exchange rate depreciation.
Then being also that the benefit is aer lot of than benefit to the influence of the China stock market is empty, because of the report of success that spread continuously in the battlefield, make Chinese the people was full of confidence to the future, Hu deep stock market inside even once spread the slogan of "the defence industry is the best war bond", but appear to buy dish continuously.The stock market of China not only don't appear significant fall, meltdown of danger.Is contrary but is to up all the way, guide the stock markets of Hong Kong, Taiwan is also "growing all the way is red" during the period of war.Numerous margins that is medium small scaled to pass stock market just spent war for period smoothly of the exits down sharply of difficult situation.
But reach Man-Ni along with Anne the section expect finally changing hands of the islands, marking Chinese troops has already thoroughly broken the blockader status of Ma Liu Jia's straits.This in former days busy water will again unimpeded, and print the hearsay of armistice to appear soaring of whole lineses once again the stock market of China more from each outlet spread of.People more beginnings start to pay attention to the post-war reconstruction of Southeast Asia and the indemnity problem of India.And in the war, the Hong Hao of always careful operation also start being fixed attention on to economic overall Chinese recovery and Teng of next stage to fly at the moment, however the all theses all want after ending in the long leave in Chinese New Year.
The Hong Hao at the moment just returned to°from oneself's home town Peking, after once visiting parents his mood is obviously quite good, oneself is in the neighborhood of three wreaths and the girl friend purchased together of enjoyed two human life fields of sweet inside the upscale small area.Li Xin who comes from Taiwan is the most precious gift in the life of Hong Hao.Passionate and generous personality's plusing a little doesn't belong to the age of this reality of innocent, make Hong Hao total ability at her feel a heartfelt happiness and joy nearby.Within these several days
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